Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Nevada's 2nd District House election be at least

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Nevada's 2nd District by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

OUTCOMES

VENUES

VOL 24H

$13

OPEN INT

$14

FRESHNESS

STALE

1369215S LAG

STATUS

ACTIVE

PROBABILITY

5 percentage points?18%2 percentage points?27%

OUTCOME PROBABILITIES

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OUTCOME LADDER

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OWNERSHIPEVENT VIEW

AWAITING DATAAWAITING ENRICHMENT

OWNERSHIP SNAPSHOT UNAVAILABLE

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REASON: Enrichment in progress

Concentration, wallet continuity, recent flow, and relation context populate from ownership snapshots.

ACTIVITYEVENT VIEW

AWAITING DATAAWAITING ENRICHMENT

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REASON: awaiting enrichment

INCENTIVESSELECTED VIEW

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REASON: awaiting enrichment