EVENT SHELL
politicsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the annual base salary of all Members of Congress increases above $174,000 before Jan 1
If the annual base salary of all Members of Congress increases above $174,000 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
OUTCOMES
4
VENUES
4
VOL 24H
$0
OPEN INT
$6
FRESHNESS
STALE
35992S LAG
STATUS
ACTIVE
PROBABILITY
2030?51%2029?40%2028?31%2027?20%
OUTCOME PROBABILITIES
LOADING OUTCOME HISTORY...
OUTCOME LADDER
SELECT TO DRIVE WORKSPACE
MARKET OVERVIEW
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the annual base salary of all Members of Congress increases above $174,000 before Jan 1, 2030?
CAUTIONWEAK DATAINSUFFICIENT CONFIDENCE
Resolution rule: If the annual base salary of all Members of Congress increases above $174,000 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
WATCH: Market state may be stale or partially degraded.
POLITICS · SINGLE_VENUE COVERAGEDATA 10h AGO
CORE VERDICTS
YES
50.5%
EDGE
INSUFFICIENT
CONFIDENCE
INSUFFICIENT
LIQUIDITY
UNKNOWN
RISK
WATCH
COMPARE SAFE
NOT_SAFE — single venue
WHY NOW
No acute driver detected.
INVALIDATION
If freshness or venue coverage worsens, displayed prices become less trustworthy as a decision input.
LAYOUT · RANGE THRESHOLD · AUTO
MARKET SUMMARY
TRUST
WEAK
Confidence INSUFFICIENT. Calibration UNKNOWN. Quality WEAK.
CALIBRATION
UNKNOWN
QUALITY
WEAK
REGIME
NORMAL
EXECUTION
UNKNOWN
Tightest spread is 1.0¢.
BEST BUY
—
BEST SELL
—
VISIBLE DEPTH
NONE
BRACKET DISTRIBUTION
MODELED
NOW 51cHORIZON 48H
48h modeled price-bracket distribution for analysis only.
BRACKET INPUTS
PRICE51c
LIQUIDITYUNKNOWN
VOLINFERRED
MOMENTUMUNKNOWN
CATALYSTUNKNOWN
WALLET FLOWUNKNOWN
PROVENANCE
FRESHSTALE
AS OF12:26 UTC
COVERAGESINGLE VENUE COVERAGE
OWNERUNKNOWN
BELOW 40C
8%
40C - 45C
18%
45C - 51C
28%
51C - 56C
30%
56C - 62C
12%
ABOVE 62C
4%
ALERT HOOKS
SHADOW MISMATCH DTO
SINGLE VENUE · WATCH · MARKET DETAIL SIGNALS
CHANGE
NEXT CATALYST
—
CATALYST ETA
—
TOP DRIVER
CONFIDENCE insufficient
CONTEXT
TARGETED
Bill status, vote path, and chamber action
FOCUS
Bill status, vote path, and chamber action
WATCH
3 ITEMS
SOURCES
3
ACCESS
FULL DETAIL
WATCH
Committee or floor calendar change
Recorded vote result and final chamber action
Any enrollment, signing, or veto step after passage
COMPARISON
NOT_SAFE
Compare-safe state is not_safe.
COMPARE SAFE
NOT_SAFE
CONTRACT DIFF
NONE
COHERENCE
UNKNOWN
OTHER CONTRACTS
0
WATCH-ONLY
CHART
THRESHOLD HISTORY
2030?
Ordered threshold buckets across the active range
4 tracks
THRESHOLD VIEW
RANGE
1W
HISTORY BUILDING
Lucidex has not accumulated enough family history for this range yet.
TRUTH / WATCH RAIL
LIVE TRUTH + WATCH ITEMS
STALE 10H
Coverage intact
EXECUTION TICKET
SUPPORT / EVIDENCE
SUPPORT / EVIDENCE
VISUAL ANALYTICS
VISUAL ANALYTICS
OWNERSHIPEVENT VIEW
AWAITING DATAAWAITING ENRICHMENT
OWNERSHIP SNAPSHOT UNAVAILABLE
Holder analytics is currently unavailable for this market family. Refresh later or switch scope.
REASON: Enrichment in progress
Concentration, wallet continuity, recent flow, and relation context populate from ownership snapshots.
ACTIVITYEVENT VIEW
AWAITING DATAAWAITING ENRICHMENT
No recent trade activity to display.
REASON: awaiting enrichment
INCENTIVESSELECTED VIEW
AWAITING DATAAWAITING ENRICHMENT
No incentive data available right now.
REASON: awaiting enrichment