EVENT SHELL
politicsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Nevada's 3rd District House election be at least
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Nevada's 3rd District by 21 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
OUTCOMES
7
VENUES
8
VOL 24H
$0
OPEN INT
$96
FRESHNESS
STALE
1369272S LAG
STATUS
ACTIVE
PROBABILITY
21 percentage points?13%6 percentage points?68%12 percentage points?45%15 percentage points?34%18 percentage points?21%3 percentage points?44%9 percentage points?56%
REGIMEdegraded (3/7)
OUTCOME PROBABILITIES
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OWNERSHIPEVENT VIEW
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INCENTIVESSELECTED VIEW
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REASON: awaiting enrichment