EVENT SHELL
otherWill the total 2026 U.S. House turnout be
If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is between 100,000,000 and 104,999,999, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
OUTCOMES
9
VENUES
9
VOL 24H
$0
OPEN INT
$32.1K
FRESHNESS
STALE
12633460S LAG
STATUS
ACTIVE
PROBABILITY
between 100 and 104.99 million?3%between 105 and 109.99 million?8%between 110 and 114.99 million?14%between 115 and 119.99 million?22%between 120 and 124.99 million?21%between 90 and 94.99 million?1%between 95 and 99.99 million?1%at least 125 million?27%less than 90 million?2%
OUTCOME PROBABILITIES
LOADING OUTCOME HISTORY...
OUTCOME LADDER
SELECT TO DRIVE WORKSPACE
MARKET OVERVIEW
Will the total 2026 U.S. House turnout be between 100 and 104.99 million?
CAUTIONWEAK DATAINSUFFICIENT CONFIDENCE
Resolution rule: If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S.
WATCH: Market state may be stale or partially degraded.
OTHER · SINGLE_VENUE COVERAGEDATA 3509h AGO
CORE VERDICTS
YES
3.3%
EDGE
INSUFFICIENT
CONFIDENCE
INSUFFICIENT
LIQUIDITY
UNKNOWN
RISK
WATCH
COMPARE SAFE
NOT_SAFE — sin███████ ██
WHY NOW
No ████ █████ █████ █████ ███
INVALIDATION
If freshness or venue coverage worsens, displayed prices become less trustworthy as a decision input.
LAYOUT · RANGE THRESHOLD · AUTO
MARKET SUMMARY
TRUST
WEAK
Confidence INSUFFICIENT. Calibration UNKNOWN. Quality WEAK.
CALIBRATION
UNKNOWN
QUALITY
WEAK
REGIME
NORMAL
EXECUTION
UNKNOWN
Tightest spread is 0.5¢.
BEST BUY
—
BEST SELL
—
VISIBLE DEPTH
NONE
CHANGE
NEXT CATALYST
—
CATALYST ETA
—
TOP DRIVER
CONFIDENCE ins██████ ███
CONTEXT
TARGETED
Bill status, vote path, and chamber action
FOCUS
Bill status, vote path, and chamber action
WATCH
3 ITEMS
SOURCES
3
ACCESS
PUBLIC SUMMARY
WATCH
Committee or floor calendar change
Recorded vote result and final chamber action
Any enrollment, signing, or veto step after passage
COMPARISON
NOT_SAFE
Compare-safe state is not_safe.
COMPARE SAFE
NOT_SAFE
CONTRACT DIFF
NONE
COHERENCE
UNKNOWN
OTHER CONTRACTS
0
CHART
THRESHOLD HISTORY
between 100 and 104.99 million?
Ordered threshold buckets across the active range
9 tracks
THRESHOLD VIEW
RANGE
1W
HISTORY BUILDING
Lucidex has not accumulated enough family history for this range yet.
TRUTH / WATCH RAIL
LIVE TRUTH + WATCH ITEMS
STALE 3509H
Coverage intact
EXECUTION TICKET
SUPPORT / EVIDENCE
SUPPORT / EVIDENCE
VISUAL ANALYTICS
VISUAL ANALYTICS
OWNERSHIPEVENT VIEW
AWAITING DATAAWAITING ENRICHMENT
OWNERSHIP SNAPSHOT UNAVAILABLE
Holder analytics is currently unavailable for this market family. Refresh later or switch scope.
REASON: Enrichment in progress
Concentration, wallet continuity, recent flow, and relation context populate from ownership snapshots.
ACTIVITYEVENT VIEW
AWAITING DATAAWAITING ENRICHMENT
No recent trade activity to display.
REASON: awaiting enrichment
INCENTIVESSELECTED VIEW
AWAITING DATAAWAITING ENRICHMENT
No incentive data available right now.
REASON: awaiting enrichment
RESOLUTION INTELLIGENCE
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