EVENT SHELL
politicsWill the margin of victory for
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Texas's 16th District by 33 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
OUTCOMES
8
VENUES
18
VOL 24H
$0
FRESHNESS
STALE
1369343S LAG
STATUS
ACTIVE
PROBABILITY
Democrats in the Texas's 20th District House election be at least 45 percentage points?24%Democrats in the Texas's 20th District House election be at least 42 percentage points?34%Democrats in the Texas's 20th District House election be at least 39 percentage points?38%Democrats in the Texas's 20th District House election be at least 36 percentage points?48%
REGIMEdegraded (1/8)
OUTCOME PROBABILITIES
LOADING OUTCOME HISTORY...
OUTCOME LADDER
SELECT TO DRIVE WORKSPACE
Select an outcome above to open its workspace.
OWNERSHIPEVENT VIEW
AWAITING DATAAWAITING ENRICHMENT
OWNERSHIP SNAPSHOT UNAVAILABLE
Holder analytics is currently unavailable for this market family. Refresh later or switch scope.
REASON: Enrichment in progress
Concentration, wallet continuity, recent flow, and relation context populate from ownership snapshots.
ACTIVITYEVENT VIEW
AWAITING DATAAWAITING ENRICHMENT
No recent trade activity to display.
REASON: awaiting enrichment
INCENTIVESSELECTED VIEW
AWAITING DATAAWAITING ENRICHMENT
No incentive data available right now.
REASON: awaiting enrichment