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Will weekly jobless claims exceed 360K for the week ending on July 17?

This is a market on whether the number of Americans that file weekly jobless claims will exceed 360,000 for the week ending on Saturday, July 17, 2021. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Department of Labor reports that there were more than 360,000 seasonally adjusted initial claims for unemployment insurance for the week ending on July 17, 2021. This market will resolve to “No” if the United States Department of Labor reports that there were 360,000 or less seasonally adjusted initial claims for unemployment insurance for the week ending on July 17, 2021. The resolution source for this market will be the United States Department of Labor’s Weekly Uninsurance Claims report for the week ending on Saturday, July 17, 2021, expected to be released on Thursday, July 22, 2021, 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If data is not available for the aforementioned dates by Wednesday, July 28, 2021, 12:00 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

OUTCOMES
1
VENUES
1
VOL 24H
$0
FRESHNESS
EMPTY
AWAITING FEED
STATUS
ACTIVE
PROBABILITY
LOADING OUTCOME HISTORY...
OUTCOME LADDER
SELECT TO DRIVE WORKSPACE
MARKET OVERVIEW

Will weekly jobless claims exceed 360K for the week ending on July 17?

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CAUTIONWEAK DATALOW CONFIDENCE

Resolution rule: This is a market on whether the number of Americans that file weekly jobless claims will exceed 360,000 for the week ending on Saturday, July 17, 2021.

WATCH: Thin liquidity or a wide spread can make the displayed price hard to execute at size.

OTHER · DEGRADED COVERAGEDATA 902h AGO
CORE VERDICTS
EDGE
LOW
CONFIDENCE
LOW
LIQUIDITY
UNKNOWN
RISK
WATCH
COMPARE SAFE
NOT_SAFE — single venue
WHY NOW
No acute driver detected.
INVALIDATION
If liquidity stays thin, the displayed spread can look better than the actual executable opportunity.
LAYOUT · MULTI OUTCOME · AUTO
MARKET SUMMARY
TRUST
WEAK
Confidence LOW. Calibration UNKNOWN. Quality WEAK.
CALIBRATION
UNKNOWN
QUALITY
WEAK
REGIME
NORMAL
EXECUTION
UNKNOWN
Execution posture is derived from visible depth, spread, and venue routing.
BEST BUY
—
BEST SELL
—
VISIBLE DEPTH
NONE
BRACKET DISTRIBUTION
INSUFFICIENT
NOW WAITINGHORIZON 48H
Bracket distribution unavailable until current price evidence is present.
BRACKET INPUTS
PRICEWAITING
LIQUIDITYUNKNOWN
VOLINFERRED
MOMENTUMUNKNOWN
CATALYSTUNKNOWN
WALLET FLOWUNKNOWN
PROVENANCE
FRESHUNKNOWN
AS OF20:32 UTC
COVERAGEDEGRADED COVERAGE
OWNERUNKNOWN
Waiting on current probability missing.
SHADOW MISMATCH DTO
CURRENT PROBABILITY MISSING · BLOCK · BRACKET DISTRIBUTION
SINGLE VENUE · WATCH · MARKET DETAIL SIGNALS
CHANGE
NEXT CATALYST
—
CATALYST ETA
—
TOP DRIVER
CONFIDENCE low
CONTEXT
No category context available.
FOCUS
—
WATCH
0 ITEMS
SOURCES
0
ACCESS
FULL DETAIL
COMPARISON
NOT_SAFE
Compare-safe state is not_safe.
COMPARE SAFE
NOT_SAFE
CONTRACT DIFF
NONE
COHERENCE
UNKNOWN
OTHER CONTRACTS
0
WATCH-ONLY
CHART
OUTCOME HISTORY
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 360K for the week ending on July 17?
Selected contract against sibling outcomes in this window
1 track
OUTCOME VIEW
RANGE
1W
HISTORY BUILDING
Lucidex has not accumulated enough family history for this range yet.
TRUTH / WATCH RAIL
LIVE TRUTH + WATCH ITEMS
FRESHNESS UNKNOWN
Coverage degraded
EXECUTION TICKET
EXECUTION TICKET
SUPPORT / EVIDENCE
SUPPORT / EVIDENCE
VISUAL ANALYTICS
VISUAL ANALYTICS
OWNERSHIPEVENT VIEW
AWAITING DATAAWAITING ENRICHMENT
OWNERSHIP SNAPSHOT UNAVAILABLE
Holder analytics is currently unavailable for this market family. Refresh later or switch scope.
REASON: Enrichment in progress
Concentration, wallet continuity, recent flow, and relation context populate from ownership snapshots.
ACTIVITYEVENT VIEW
AWAITING DATAAWAITING ENRICHMENT
No recent trade activity to display.
REASON: awaiting enrichment
INCENTIVESSELECTED VIEW
AWAITING DATAAWAITING ENRICHMENT
No incentive data available right now.
REASON: awaiting enrichment